In an era with unprecedented
technological advancement, it is hard to fathom that our specie might be at the
brink of an immeasurable crisis. With our population accelerating at an
exponential rate, many are starting to feel skeptical for the future. Julian
Simon and Thomas Malthus had both envisaged the inevitable, though with
contradictory perspectives. The first believed in redemption by technology,
while the other did not – both were appropriate for their eras. Ultimately, Julian
Simon’s theory, though reassuring, is more flawed - if our specie does not find
a cure to the population boom expeditiously, the catastrophe will fall upon us!
We are obliged, for the second time since the
Green Revolution, to come up with a miraculous technology to provide more food
and water, while neglecting a more deadly potential threat – the lack of fossil
fuel. Our modern world, including agriculture, is powered by electricity,
which, fundamentally, is provided by fossil fuel. With a rising standard of
living, people are actually consuming more energy than they used to. For
instance, we become increasingly reliant on computers, take electronics as
granted, and use cars as our primary transportation device. Even agriculture relies
almost solely on machineries – the essential reason why the food productivity
increases. When the remote, yet dreadful day comes, and all our fuel supply is
dissipated, the debacle created by it would be far more formidable than a
famine. As of now, the world is so
addicted to fuel that it would be a matter of decades to replace it with an
alternative, even after acquiring the technology to do so.
Julian Simon had once said, convincingly,”
minds matter economically as much, or more than, hands or mouths. It almost
sounds comforting: the more people we have, the more ideas, therefore more
technologies and resources. It’s undeniable that more people is equivalent to
more minds, though most population increase happens in developing countries, where
people are struggling for survival and schools are considered luxurious. Thus,
without education, the children, with vacant minds, are only more mouths to
feed. More people does not equal to more minds – that is the deceitful part of
the equation. The situation in Africa has not yet reached a despairing state,
though god made us a selfish species. The world’s most prosperous nations would
rather spend a staggering 30% on military expenses, knowing that if a fraction
of that money was spent on poverty reduction, every child in Africa would be
able to go to school in merely a few years.
With the rising population, the social issues will also become
more manifested. For instance, to attract investment, poor countries enter a
spiraling race to the bottom to see who can provide lower standards, reduced
wages and cheaper resources. With the increased unemployment rate caused by the
population increase, people will have no choice but to accept low-paid,
dangerous jobs. It is not, unfortunately, something that technology can aid. In
fact, it is technological improvement that causes a demand for more
manufactured goods. Environmental issues are equally as great. Ozone depletion, global warming – all of them
are by-products our modern technologies.
The population crisis cannot be overcome with ease. But
perhaps, it would bind the nations together to face the common enemy, and with
the effort of the whole humanity, we will endure.
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